黄河流域城市群中国式现代化水平测度及其耦合协调性分析

摘要：

以黄河流域7大城市群中的 70个城市为研究样本,在构建中国式现代化评价指标体系的基础上,运用熵值法测算了 2012-2022 年黄河流域城市群中国式现代化及其各子系统的综合评分,并计算了其耦合协调度;然后运用核密度估计法、热点分析法和 Dagum基尼系数分解法分析其动态演变及差异来源;最后,运用变异系数和空间收敛模型分析其收敛特征,结果表明:黄河流域城市群中国式现代化水平呈持续提升趋势,但其系统耦合协调水平普遍较低;黄河流域城市群中国式现代化系统耦合协调的差异呈整体下降局部波动特征,区域间差异是主要来源;黄河流域城市群中国式现代化系统耦合协调存在收敛特征,流域整体收敛速率最快,上游次之,下游居中,中游最慢,相应的半生命周期递增。

Taking 70 cities in the seven major urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin as research samples,based on the construction of the evaluation index system of Chinese Moderization, the entropy method is used to calculate the comprehensive score of Chinese Modernization and its subsystems in the Yellow River Basin urban agglomeration from 2012 to 2022, and calculate its coupling coordination; Then, the dyamic evolution and sources of differences were analyzed using Kernel kernel density estimation, hotspot analysis, and Dagum Gini coelflicient decomposition methods; Finally, the convergence characteristics were analyzed using the coelficient of variation and spatial convergence model. The results indicates：first, the regional dimension analysis of Chinese style modernization shows that the level of Chinese style modernization in the Yellow River Basin urban agglomeration is continuously improving, but its level of system coupling and coordination is generally low；Second, the differences in the coupling and coordination of Chinese modernization in the urban agglomeration of the Yellow River Basin are characterized by overall decline and local fluctuations, Regional diferences are the main source; Third, the coupling and coordination of Chinese path to modermization in the urban agglomeration of the Yellow River Basin has convergence characteristics. The overall convergence speed of the urban agglomeration is the fastest, followed by the upstream, the downstream is in the middle, and the midstream is the slowest, with the corresponding half life eycle increasing.

作者:

高彪，陈娟丽，师东晖，黄立军

Gao Biao，Chen Juanli，Shi Donghui，Huang Lijunib

机构地区：

宁夏大学民族与历史学院；宁夏大学经济管理学院；绵阳师范学院数字经济与管理学院；绵阳师范学院生命科学学院

引用本文：

高彪，陈娟丽，师东晖等。黄河流域城市群中国式现代化水平测度及其耦合协调性分析[J].河南师范大学学报(自然科学版),2025,53(5):34-44.(Gao Biao, Chen Juanli, Shi Donghui, et al. The level measurement and coupling coordination analysis of Chinese modernization of urban agglomeration in the Yellow River Basin[J].Journal of Henan Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2025,53(5):34-44.D01:10.16366/j.cnki.1000-23672024.05.28.0002.)

基金：

国家社会科学基金；绵阳师范学院科研博士启动项目

关键词：

黄河流域；中国式现代化；核密度估计；Dagum 基尼系数；空间收敛

Yellow River Basin; Chinese modernization; kernel density; Dagum Gini coefficient; spatial convergence

分类号：

F224.0

黄河流域城市群中国式现代化水平测度及其耦合协调性分析.pdf